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《未来简史:从智人到神人》在线阅读第49页

 感谢卡梅尔·韦斯曼(Carmel Weismann)、华金·凯勒(Joaquín Keller)和安托万(Antoine Mazieres)对大脑和心智主题提出的意见。

 感谢本杰明·Z.凯达尔(Benjamin Z. Kedar)种下种子、辛勤灌溉。

 感谢迭戈·奥尔斯坦(Diego Olstein)多年来温暖的友谊、冷静的指引。

 感谢阿米尔(Ehud Amir)、舒奇·布鲁克(Shuki Bruck)、米尔·沃泽尔(Miri Worzel)、盖伊·扎斯拉瓦基(Guy Zaslavaki)、迈克尔·科恩(Michal Cohen)、约西·莫里(Yossi Maurey)、阿米尔·萨马凯–芬克(Amir Sumakai-Fink)、萨瑞·阿哈罗尼(Sarai Aharoni)和阿迪·埃兹拉(Adi Ezra),他们分别阅读了部分手稿,提出了他们的意见。

 感谢艾洛纳·阿里尔(Eilona Ariel)总像是热情的源泉、坚实的避风港。

 感谢伊茨克的母亲兼会计汉娜·亚哈夫(Hannah Yahav),巧妙处理所有财务事宜。

 感谢我的外祖母范妮(Fanny)、母亲普妮娜(Pnina)、两位姐姐艾纳特(Einat)和利亚特(Liat),以及其他所有亲朋好友的支持与陪伴。

 感谢钱巴(Chamba)、彭戈(Pengo)和奇里(Chili),对本书主要概念及理论提供宝贵意见。

 最后要感谢我的另一半兼经理人伊茨克(Itzik),他已经成了我的万物互联网。

 注释

 第1章

 1. Tim Blanning,The Pursuit of Glory(New York:Penguin Books, 2008), 52.

 2.同上,53.并请参见:J. Neumann and S. Lindgrén, ‘Great Historical Events That Were Significantly Affected by the Weather:4, The Great Famines in Finland and Estonia, 1695–97’,Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society60 (1979), 775–87; Andrew B. Appleby, ‘Epidemics and Famine in the Little Ice Age’,Journal of Interdisciplinary History10:4 (1980):643–63; Cormac Ó Gráda an d Jean-Mi che l C heve t, ‘Fa mine an d Ma r ke t inA n cien Régi meF ran ce’,Jou r na l o f Economic History62:3 (2002), 706–73.

 3. Nicole Darmon et al., ‘L’insécurité alimentaire pour raisons financières en France’,Observatoire National de la Pauvreté et de l’Exclusion Sociale, https://www.onpes.gouv.fr/IMG/pdf/Darmon.pdf, accessed 3 March 2015; Rapport Annuel 2013,Banques Alimetaires, http://en.calameo.com/read/001358178ec47d2018425, accessed 4 March 2015.

 4. Richard Dobbs et al., ‘How the World Could Better Fight Obesity’, McKinseys & Company, November, 2014, accessed 11 December 2014, http://www.mckinsey.com/insights/economic_studies/how_the_world_could_better_fight_obesity.

 5. ‘Global Burden of Disease, Injuries and Risk Factors Study 2013’,Lancet, 18 December 2014, accessed 18 December 2014, http://www.thelancet.com/themed/global-burden-of-disease; Stephen Adams, ‘Obesity Killing Three Times As Many As Malnutrition’,Telegraph, 13 December 2012, accessed 18 December 2014, http://www.telegraph.co.uk/health/healthnews/9742960/Obesity-killing-three-timesas-many-as-malnutrition.html

 6. Robert S. Lopez,The Birth of Europe[in Hebrew] (Tel Aviv:Dvir, 1990), 427.

 7. https://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/d/d0/Yersinia_pestis.jpg

 8. Alfred W. Crosby,The Columbian Exchange:Biological and Cultural Consequences of 1492(Westport:Greenwood Press, 1972); William H. McNeill,Plagues and Peoples(Oxford:Basil Blackwell, 1977).

 9. Hugh Thomas,Conquest:Cortes,Montezuma and the Fall of Old Mexico(New York:Simon & Schuster, 1993), 443–6; Rodolfo Acuna-Soto et al., ‘Megadrought and Megadeath in 16th Century Mexico’,Historical Review8:4 (2002), 360–2; Sherburne F. Cook and Lesley Byrd Simpson,The Population of Central Mexico in the Sixteenth Century (Berkeley:University of Califronia Press, 1948).

 10. Jared Diamond,Guns, Germs and Steel:The Fates of Human Societies[in Hebrew] (Tel Avia:Am Oved, 2002), 167.

 11. Jeffery K. Taubenberger and David M. Morens, ‘1918 Influenza:The Mother of All Pandemics’,Emerging Infectious Diseases12:1 (2006), 15–22; Niall P. A. S. Johnson and Juergen Mueller, ‘Updating the Accounts:Global Mortality of the 1918–1920“Spanish”Influenza Pandemic’,Bulletin of the History of Medicine76:1 (2002), 105–15; Stacey L. Knobler, Alison Mack, Adel Mahmoud et al., ed.,The Threat of Pandemic Influenza:Are We Ready?Workshop Summary(Washington DC:National Academies Press 2005), 57–110; David van Reybrouck,Congo:The Epic History of a People(New York:HarperCollins, 2014), 164; Siddharth Chandra, Goran Kuljanin and Jennifer Wray, ‘Mortality from the Influenza Pandemic of 1918–1919:The Case of India’,Demography49:3 (2012), 857–65; George C. Kohn,Encyclopedia of Plague and Pestilence:From Ancient Times to the Present, 3rd edn (New York:Facts on File, 2008), 363.

 12.从2005年到2010年的平均值,分别是全球4.6%、非洲7.9%、欧洲和北美0.7%。参见:‘Infant Mortality Rate (Both Sexes Combined) by Major Area, Region and Country, 1950–2010 (Infant Deaths for 1000 Live Births), estimates’,World Population Prospects: the 2010 Revision, UN Department of Economic and Social Affairs, April 2011, accessed 26 May 2012, http://esa.un.org/unpd/wpp/Excel-Data/mortality.htm.同时参见Alain Bideau, Bertrand Desjardins, and Hector Perez-Brignoli, ed.,Infant and Child Mortality in the Past(Oxford:Clarendon Press, 1997); Edward Anthony Wrigley et al.,English Population Historyfrom Family Reconstitution, 1580–1837(Cambridge:Cambridge University Press, 1997), 295–6, 303.

 13. David A. Koplow, Smallpox:The Fight to Eradicate a Global Scourge(Berkeley:University of California Press, 2004); Abdel R. Omran, ‘The Epidemiological Transition:A Theory of Population Change’,Milbank Memorial Fund Quarterly83:4 (2005), 731–57; Thomas McKeown,The Modern Rise of Populations(New York:Academic Press, 1976); Simon Szreter,Health and Wealth:Studies in History and Policy(Rochester:University of Rochester Press, 2005); Roderick Floud, Robert W. Fogel, Bernard Harris and Sok Chul Hong,The Changing Body:Health, Nutrition and Human Development in the Western World since 1700(New York:Cambridge University Press, 2011); James C. Riley,Rising Life Expectancy:A Global History(New York:Cambridge University Press, 2001).

 14. ‘Cholera’, World Health Organization, February 2014, accessed 18 December 2014, http://www.who.int/mediacentre/factsheets/fs107/en/index.html.

 15. ‘Experimental Therapies:Growing Interest in the Use of Whole Blood or Plasma from Recovered Ebola Patients’, World Health Organization, September 26, 2014, accessed 23 April 2015, http://www.who.int/mediacentre/news/ebola/26–september-2014/en/ .

 16. Hung Y. Fan, Ross F. Conner and Luis P. Villarreal,AIDS:Science and Society, 6th edn (Sudbury:Jones and Bartlett Publishers, 2011).

 17. Peter Piot and Thomas C. Quinn, ‘Response to the AIDS Pandemic – A Global Health Model’,TheNew England Journal of Medicine368:23 (2013):2210–18.

 18.在官方数据中,从未将“老死”列入死因。如果某位妇人年老体衰,最终因为某种感染而再也撑不下去,账面上就会将感染列为正式死因。因此从官方数据来看,因传染病而死的人仍然占总死亡人数的20%以上。然而现在的情形绝对已经和过去大为不同:当时传染病带走的是大批儿童及健壮成年人的生命。

 19. David M. Livermore, ‘Bacterial Resistance:Origins, Epidemiology, and Impact’,Clinical Infectious Diseases36:s1 (2005), s11–23; Richards G. Wax et al., ed.,Bacterial Resistance to Antimicrobials, 2nd edn (Boca Raton:CRC Press, 2008); Maja Babic and Robert A. Bonomo, ‘Mutations as a Basis of Antimicrobial Resistance’, inAntimicrobial Drug Resistance:Mechanisms of Drug Resistance, ed. Douglas Mayers, vol. 1 (New York:Humana Press, 2009), 65–74; Julian Davies and Dorothy Davies, ‘Origins and Evolution of Antibiotic Resistance’,Microbiology and Molecular Biology Reviews74:3 (2010), 417–33; Richard J. Fair and Yitzhak Tor, ‘Antibiotics and Bacterial Resistance in the 21st Century’,Perspectives in Medicinal Chemistry6 (2014), 25–64.

 20. Alfonso J. Alanis, ‘Resistance to Antibiotics:Are We in the Post-Antibiotic Era?’,Archives of Medical Research36:6 (2005), 697–705; Stephan Harbarth and Matthew H. Samore, ‘Antimicrobial Resistance Determinants and Future Control’,Emerging Infectious Diseases11:6 (2005), 794–801; Hiroshi Yoneyama and Ryoichi Katsumata, ‘Antibiotic Resistance in Bacteria and Its Future for Novel Antibiotic Development’,Bioscience, Biotechnology and Biochemistry70:5 (2006), 1060–75; Cesar A. Arias and Barbara E. Murray, ‘Antibiotic-Resistant Bugs in the 21st Century – A Clinical Super-Challenge’,New England Journal of Medicine360 (2009), 439–43; Brad Spellberg, John G. Bartlett and David N. Gilbert, ‘The Future of Antibiotics and Resistance’,New England Journal of Medicine368 (2013), 299–302.

 21. Losee L. Ling et al., ‘A New Antibiotic Kills Pathogens without Detectable Resistance’,Nature517 (2015), 455–9; Gerard Wright, ‘Antibiotics:An Irresistible Newcomer’,Nature517 (2015), 442–4.

 22. Roey Tzezana,The Guide to the Future[in Hebrew] (Haifa:Roey Tzezana, 2013), 209–33.

 23. Azar Gat,War in Human Civilization(Oxford:Oxford University Press, 2006), 130–1; Steven Pinker,The Better Angels of Our Nature:Why Violence Has Declined(New York:Viking, 2011); Joshua S. Goldstein,Winning the War on War:The Decline of Armed Conflict Worldwide(New York:Dutton, 2011); Robert S. Walker and Drew H. Bailey, ‘Body Counts in Lowland South American Violence’,Evolution and Human Behavior 34:1 (2013), 29–34; I. J. N. Thorpe, ‘Anthropology, Archaeology, and the Origin of Warfare’,World Archaology35:1 (2003), 145–65; Raymond C. Kelly,Warless Societies and the Origin of War(Ann Arbor:University of Michigan Press, 2000); Lawrence H. Keeley,War before Civilization:The Myth of the Peaceful Savage(Oxford:Oxford University Press, 1996); Slavomil Vencl, ‘Stone Age Warfare’, inAncient Warfare:Archaeological Perspectives, ed. John Carman and Anthony Harding (Stroud:Sutton Publishing, 1999), 57–73.

 24. ‘Global Health Observatory Data Repository, 2012’, World Health Organization, accessed 16 August 2015, http://apps.who.int/gho/data/node.main.RCODWORLD?lang=en; ‘Global Study on Homicide, 2013’, UNDOC, accessed 16 August 2015, http://www.unodc.org/documents/gsh/pdfs/2014_GLOBAL_HOMICIDE_BOOK_web.pdf; http://www.who.int/healthinfo/global_burden_disease/estimates/en/index1.html.

 25. Van Reybrouck,Congo, 456–7.

 26.关于肥胖造成的死亡:‘Global Burden of Disease, Injuries and Risk Factors Study 2013’,Lancet, 18 December 2014, accessed 18 December 2014, http://www.thelancet.com/themed/global-burden-of-disease; Stephen Adams, ‘Obesity Killing Three Times As Many As Malnutrition’,Telegraph, 13 December 2012, accessed 18 December 2014, http://www.telegraph.co.uk/health/healthnews/9742960/Obesity-killing-three-times-as-many-as-malnutrition.html.关于恐怖主义造成的死亡:Global Terrorism Database, http://www.start.umd.edu/gtd/, accessed 16 January 2016.

 27. Arion McNicoll, ‘How Google’s Calico Aims to Fight Aging and“Solve Death”’, CNN, 3 October 2013, accessed 19 December 2014, http://edition.cnn.com/2013/10/03/tech/innovation/google-calico-aging-death/.

 28. Katrina Brooker, ‘Google Ventures and the Search for Immortality’,Bloomberg, 9 March 2015, accessed 15 April 2015, http://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2015–03–09/google-ventures-bill-maris-investing-in-idea-of-livingto-500.

 29. Mick Brown, ‘Peter Thiel:The Billionaire Tech Entrepreneur on a Mission to Cheat Death’,Telegraph, 19 September 2014, accessed 19 December 2014, http://www.telegraph.co.uk/technology/11098971/Peter-Thiel-the-billionaire-techentrepreneur-on-a-mission-to-cheat-death.html.

 30. Kim Hill et al., ‘Mortality Rates among Wild Chimpanzees’,Journal of Human Evolution40:5 (2001):437–50; James G. Herndon, ‘Brain Weight Throughout the Life Span of the Chimpanzee’,Journal of Comparative Neurology409 (1999):567–72.

 31. Beatrice Scheubel,Bismarck’s Institutions:A Historical Perspective on the Social Security Hypothesis (Tubingen:Mohr Siebeck, 2013); E. P. Hannock,The Origin of the Welfare State in England and Germany, 1850–1914(Cambridge:Cambridge University Press, 2007).

 32. ‘Mental Health:Age Standardized Suicide Rates (per 100,000 Population), 2012’, World Health Organization, accessed 28 December 2014, http://gamapserver.who.int/gho/interactive_charts/mental_health/suicide_rates/atlas.html.

 33. Ian Morris,Why the West Rules – For Now(Toronto:McClelland & Stewart, 2010), 626–9.

 34. David G. Myers, ‘The Funds, Friends, and Faith of Happy People’,American Psychologist55:1 (2000), 61; Ronald Inglehart et al., ‘Development, Freedom, and Rising Happiness:A Global Perspective (1981–2007)’,Perspectives on Psychological Science3:4 (2008), 264–85.同时参见Mihaly Csikszentmihalyi, ‘If We Are So Rich, Why Aren’t We Happy?’,American Psychologist54:10 (1999), 821–7; Gregg Easterbrook,The Progress Paradox:How Life Gets Better While People Feel Worse(New York:Random House, 2003).

 35. Ke nji Suzuki, ‘Ar e They Frigid to the Ec o n o mic Development?Reconsideration of the Economic Effect on Subjective Well-being in Japan’,Social Indicators Research92:1 (2009), 81–9; Richard A. Easterlin, ‘Will Raising the Incomes of all Increase the Happiness of All?’,Journal of Economic Bheavior and Organization27:1 (1995), 35–47; Richard A. Easterlin, ‘Diminishing Marginal Utility of Income?Caveat Emptor’,Social Indicators Research70:3 (2005), 243–55.

 36. Linda C. Raeder,John Stuart Mill and the Religion of Humanity(Columbia:University of Missouri Press, 2002).

 37. Oliver Turnbull and Mark Solms,TheBrain and the Inner World[in Hebrew] (Tel Aviv:Hakibbutz Hameuchad, 2005), 92–6; Kent C. Berridge and Morten L. Kringelbach, ‘Affective Neuroscience of Pleasure:Reward in Humans and Animals’,Psychopharmacology199 (2008), 457–80; Morten L. Kringelbach,The Pleasure Center:Trust Your Animal Instincts(Oxford:Oxford University Press, 2009).

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